Tesla’s global deliveries have dropped in total, and in some markets (not all), the brand has definitely seen some big drops. But what about in the United States? Have the Tesla Takedown protests and the criminal vandalism acts brought Tesla to its knees? Not so much, if Cox Automotive/Kelley Blue Book’s delivery data can be believed. Let’s see the numbers and then examine Q1 in the context of the prior year.
Cox Automotive/KBB Report - Tesla Deliveries By Model
In its April 9th report, Cox Automotive/KBB offers this chart that provides a line-by-line breakdown of the deliveries of Tesla’s five models. Here’s what it looks like:
As you can see, two of the five models had meaningful increases in deliveries in Q1 2025 by comparison to Q1 of 2024 (the prior year). For some unknown reason, there are still people, companies, or fleets that are buying the Cybertruck. Its deliveries were up a whopping 128.5%, which equated to a total of 6,406 trucks moving off Tesla’s retail lots. Rivian delivered about 1,500 fewer R1T pickups in that same period, so maybe the Rivian shoppers opted to buy a Tesla instead. Or perhaps it was the Ford F-150 buyers who moved Tesla’s way. Ford says that it delivered 556 fewer Lightnings to buyers in Q1.
The Tesla Model 3 sedan had a banger of a quarter, with deliveries rising massively by both percent and actual units. CBB/Cox shows that Tesla sold an additional 22,000 Model 3 cars in Q1. In total, the Model 3 represented 52,520 units. That would easily put the Model 3 into the top-ten most popular cars in America list. Apparently, shoppers were not afraid to buy Model 3 cars, despite all the outrageous activity.
The S and X are basically done in America, but this is not new information. We reported on this years ago. Nobody wants an X or S here or anywhere on Earth. They have jumped the shark. Sales did decline, but the drop was just 4,000 or so units in total. Barely worth mentioning. In fact, Tesla doesn’t even mention these models in its own delivery reports.
Now we come to the Tesla Model Y delivery numbers. Yup, a big drop did occur. Cox/KBB says that Tesla delivered about 33,000 fewer of them in Q1 compared to Q1 of 2024. Before we jump to the conclusion that the crazy people screaming at passing Tesla vehicles are the reason this occurred, let’s think for a moment about the Model Y. Didn’t it have a generational change during Q1? Yes, indeed, Tesla did launch the new Model Y, which folks call the Juniper, during Q1. Could that be the reason so many fewer were delivered? We think so.
During late Q1, I visited the Peabody Tesla retail store in Massachusetts, hoping to see the new Model Y Juniper. However, this location didn’t have any. Not even one to display in the showroom as an example. I was told that just one Mass. Tesla location had a Juniper for shoppers to oggle. I remember thinking to myself,
You’d have to be nuts to buy the old Model Y knowing that the all-new Model Y was literally a few weeks away. Who wants day-old donuts?
Conclusion - The Theory That Protesters Drove Down Tesla’s U.S. Deliveries Is Weak
It feels to me that Tesla’s deliveries must have been impacted by the protests and criminal vandalism that have been taking place. I’ve seen protests of Tesla (in Concord, MA), and the closest Tesla Supercharger to my home (Littleton, MA) was literally torched. It sure seems obvious that Tesla’s sales must have been devastated by these anti-Tesla, anti-EV, anti-Elon shenanigans. But the data says otherwise. Two of Tesla’s three viable models had growth months in January, February, and March, and Tesla’s overall deliveries were down just 8.6% if Cox/KBB’s estimates are correct. Maybe what we all assume is simply not right?
Tell us what you think in the comments section below.
John Goreham is a credentialed New England Motor Press Association member and expert vehicle tester. John completed an engineering program with a focus on electric vehicles, followed by two decades of work in high-tech, biopharma, and the automotive supply chain before becoming a news contributor. He is a member of the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE int). In addition to his eleven years of work at Torque News, John has published thousands of articles and reviews at American news outlets. He is known for offering unfiltered opinions on vehicle topics. You can connect with John on Linkedin and follow his work on his personal X channel or on our X channel. Please note that stories carrying John's by-line are never AI-generated, but he does employ grammar and punctuation software when proofreading and he also uses image generation tools.
Image Note: Image depicting angry Tesla protesters created using Grok. Chart showing EV deliveries in Q1 2025 courtesy of the Kelley Blue Book EV sales Report. Use this link to find the full report.
Comments
They clearly cooked up…
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They clearly cooked up numbers in Canada trying to get that credit so why would anyone believe the number of Cybertrucks sold in the US.
lmao cope. 📉📉📉📉
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lmao cope. 📉📉📉📉
He's a better take on it and…
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He's a better take on it and the comparisons are glaring example at how Tesla continues to manipulate what it makes public:
electrek.co has a good read on how the latest data should actually be read.
Thank you, Whatstosay. Where…
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In reply to He's a better take on it and… by Whatstosay (not verified)
Thank you, Whatstosay. Where would we be without Electrek to tell us how to think?
John, now you sound like…
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In reply to Thank you, Whatstosay. Where… by John Goreham
John, now you sound like Prince of Tesla Boosters Nic Patane.
My dude, Tesla hasn't…
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My dude, Tesla hasn't delivered fewer vehicles in a quarter since <em>2021</em>.
Also:
"The Tesla Model 3 sedan had a banger of a quarter, with deliveries rising massively by both percent and actual units."
The Model 3 was largely unavailable to order in the first quarter of 2024 due to the refresh. Deliveries were down 43.9%, so the "banger" of the quarter was just almost matching their sales in the first quarter of 2023.
Hi Matthew. Our report…
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In reply to My dude, Tesla hasn't… by Matthew Berg (not verified)
Hi Matthew. Our report compares Q1 2024 to Q1 2025. That removes seasonality effects from the comparison. Model 3 deliveries went up dramatically. The premise of the story is that protests are not keeping shoppes away. I they were, we would not see a top-selling model like Model 3 grow so much in comparison to a prior quarter. Cybertruck also more than doubled its former Q1 deliveries. I love that you look back to 2023. I try to do that in my work when the data allows. However, I think here the point is that with an overall 14% decline in a quarter in which the company's top-selling model was undergoing a generational change seems to point to the protests having had little impact during that period. Check back at the end of Q2. I think he facts will pain a different picture. I can't wait to find out.
Is Tesla fudging the figures?
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Is Tesla fudging the figures?
Aww, look at these crybabies…
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Aww, look at these crybabies. I can't wait for more doge cuts and more Elon input. LOVE IT!
time hasn't ended, Gunter.
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In reply to Aww, look at these crybabies… by Nuckalas (not verified)
time hasn't ended, Gunter.
Interesting assumptions…
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Interesting assumptions. Here are a few counterpoints. The Model 3 is a refreshed model, so you would expect to see sales rise. Plus the Model 3 and Y (and even the later Cybertruck) qualify for the full $7,500 subsidies, plus state EV programs. This makes the reduced sales of the refreshed Model Y even more tragic. We know that Q1 earnings are down from projections, but the real telling numbers will be seen in Q2. Especially if Musk remains in DOGE. Plus, nobody would realistically expect anything good to come from the Tesla facilities attacks and vandalism. It does no harm to Musk, and does nothing to improve his political meddling.
Great analysis, Dean. Thanks…
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In reply to Interesting assumptions… by DeanMcManis (not verified)
Great analysis, Dean. Thanks for taking the time to comment. I agree Q2 will tell us a lot. I would not be surprised if one of the outlets with deep pockets does a Tesla delivery analysis sooner than July.
That would track if the new…
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That would track if the new model Y was back ordered, but it isn't. Either their production of the new model is insane or this is the first tech product in a long time were demand is falling short of supply.
The n umber of sales…
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The n umber of sales/deliveries are inaccurate, and in fact, feloniously so. The 1Q25 numbers are serious inflated by vehicles that were "sold" to X, XAI, Tesla Energy and other internals for $1 but were never delivered. The biggest sales were to Tesla Energy (formerly SolarCity.)
conspicuously absent from…
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conspicuously absent from your analysis is the fact that trade-ins of Teslas to buy other brands are up 250% year over year, according to the very same registration data. wasn't the question is anybody fleeing them due to Musk? THERE is your answer.
Electrek's April 11 Article,…
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Electrek's April 11 Article, "Tesla’s US sales are worse than what is reported, here’s more accurate data" explains in detail why the Cox data is unreliable in Tesla's case. Unfortunately no links are alklowed here.
Thank you, Les. Yes, it is…
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In reply to Electrek's April 11 Article,… by Les Gullible (not verified)
Thank you, Les. Yes, it is helpful to have Electrek to tell us how to think. However, I've read Mr. Lambert's take on this issue. He says, "Cox’s estimate looks quite high. The best way to figure out Tesla deliveries in the US is to take deliveries based on registration data in all other markets where Tesla sells vehicles in the world." However, has Mr. Lambert communicated with Cox? He doesn't say in his article how Cox makes its estimate. Perhaps Mr. Lambert is right, and Tesla has lost about 15% of its deliveries in Q1. Does that change the narrative that the crime and protests in America have not harmed Tesla significantly? Maybe, maybe not. Q2 will be the real test. Mr. Lambert also seems to go out of his way not to mention that six automakers, including Rivian and Mercedes, had HUGE drops in EV deliveries in Q1. Rivian and Mercedes had three or four times the drop that Mr. Lambert estimates that Tesla saw. And another fact he leaves out is that EV market share is basically unchanged since Q1 of 2023.
Pagination