Tesla’s global deliveries have dropped in total, and in some markets (not all), the brand has definitely seen some big drops. But what about in the United States? Have the Tesla Takedown protests and the criminal vandalism acts brought Tesla to its knees? Not so much, if Cox Automotive/Kelley Blue Book’s delivery data can be believed. Let’s see the numbers and then examine Q1 in the context of the prior year.
Cox Automotive/KBB Report - Tesla Deliveries By Model
In its April 9th report, Cox Automotive/KBB offers this chart that provides a line-by-line breakdown of the deliveries of Tesla’s five models. Here’s what it looks like:
As you can see, two of the five models had meaningful increases in deliveries in Q1 2025 by comparison to Q1 of 2024 (the prior year). For some unknown reason, there are still people, companies, or fleets that are buying the Cybertruck. Its deliveries were up a whopping 128.5%, which equated to a total of 6,406 trucks moving off Tesla’s retail lots. Rivian delivered about 1,500 fewer R1T pickups in that same period, so maybe the Rivian shoppers opted to buy a Tesla instead. Or perhaps it was the Ford F-150 buyers who moved Tesla’s way. Ford says that it delivered 556 fewer Lightnings to buyers in Q1.
The Tesla Model 3 sedan had a banger of a quarter, with deliveries rising massively by both percent and actual units. CBB/Cox shows that Tesla sold an additional 22,000 Model 3 cars in Q1. In total, the Model 3 represented 52,520 units. That would easily put the Model 3 into the top-ten most popular cars in America list. Apparently, shoppers were not afraid to buy Model 3 cars, despite all the outrageous activity.
The S and X are basically done in America, but this is not new information. We reported on this years ago. Nobody wants an X or S here or anywhere on Earth. They have jumped the shark. Sales did decline, but the drop was just 4,000 or so units in total. Barely worth mentioning. In fact, Tesla doesn’t even mention these models in its own delivery reports.
Now we come to the Tesla Model Y delivery numbers. Yup, a big drop did occur. Cox/KBB says that Tesla delivered about 33,000 fewer of them in Q1 compared to Q1 of 2024. Before we jump to the conclusion that the crazy people screaming at passing Tesla vehicles are the reason this occurred, let’s think for a moment about the Model Y. Didn’t it have a generational change during Q1? Yes, indeed, Tesla did launch the new Model Y, which folks call the Juniper, during Q1. Could that be the reason so many fewer were delivered? We think so.
During late Q1, I visited the Peabody Tesla retail store in Massachusetts, hoping to see the new Model Y Juniper. However, this location didn’t have any. Not even one to display in the showroom as an example. I was told that just one Mass. Tesla location had a Juniper for shoppers to oggle. I remember thinking to myself,
You’d have to be nuts to buy the old Model Y knowing that the all-new Model Y was literally a few weeks away. Who wants day-old donuts?
Conclusion - The Theory That Protesters Drove Down Tesla’s U.S. Deliveries Is Weak
It feels to me that Tesla’s deliveries must have been impacted by the protests and criminal vandalism that have been taking place. I’ve seen protests of Tesla (in Concord, MA), and the closest Tesla Supercharger to my home (Littleton, MA) was literally torched. It sure seems obvious that Tesla’s sales must have been devastated by these anti-Tesla, anti-EV, anti-Elon shenanigans. But the data says otherwise. Two of Tesla’s three viable models had growth months in January, February, and March, and Tesla’s overall deliveries were down just 8.6% if Cox/KBB’s estimates are correct. Maybe what we all assume is simply not right?
Tell us what you think in the comments section below.
John Goreham is a credentialed New England Motor Press Association member and expert vehicle tester. John completed an engineering program with a focus on electric vehicles, followed by two decades of work in high-tech, biopharma, and the automotive supply chain before becoming a news contributor. He is a member of the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE int). In addition to his eleven years of work at Torque News, John has published thousands of articles and reviews at American news outlets. He is known for offering unfiltered opinions on vehicle topics. You can connect with John on Linkedin and follow his work on his personal X channel or on our X channel. Please note that stories carrying John's by-line are never AI-generated, but he does employ grammar and punctuation software when proofreading and he also uses image generation tools.
Image Note: Image depicting angry Tesla protesters created using Grok. Chart showing EV deliveries in Q1 2025 courtesy of the Kelley Blue Book EV sales Report. Use this link to find the full report.
Comments
What a crazy conclusion …
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What a crazy conclusion ... You need to look at quarter over quarter man... Tesla delivered 495,000 vehicles in Q4 compared to 336,000 in Q1.
I know you don't want to "feel" there hasn't been any brand destruction, but the reality is Tesla shrank last quarter, significantly. Sure, it could be all external reasons, but the reality is it's a mix of both...
Cox gives only estimated…
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Cox gives only estimated data. Tesla only reports total sales. To get the actual number you could subtract reported vehicle registration numbers from Europe and then estimate the percentage of vehicles sold in Canada to give you at least a better picture of what Tesla sales actually look like.
I suppose it isn't something you'd be interested because real data doesn't support your narrative.
Hi Wayne. You are mistaken…
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In reply to Cox gives only estimated… by Wayne (not verified)
Hi Wayne. You are mistaken. The chart you see in the story is U.S. deliveries only. Derived from DMV registration data and other methods found to be accurate. I feel we have been as open and honest about the data's source (including linking to it in two places) as anyone could be. If you have better data, please add a comment with a link, and we will look at it immediately and correct any errors we have reported. In a way, I am with you on this topic. I think it is horrifying that one of the world's largest automakers is allowed to get away with not reporting each model in each market in each quarter. Many publications, including me at this one, have written stories saying that.
Deliveries are one thing,…
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Deliveries are one thing, but what about actual sales, cost (reduction or inflation), and profit margin or ROI?
Since Tesla's must be…
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Since Tesla's must be preordered and paid for in advance, you really need to look at the number of Teslas ordered during Q1 2025 as compared to Q1 2024. Also, you need to look at world wide orders to see the true effect on Tesla as a whole. SPACE X along with Tesla have lost international orders due to Elon Musk's involvement in President Trump's administration. I believe he has done irreparable damage to the Tesla brand. He didn't take into account his customer base are liberal and believe in climate change.
YoY is going to different…
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YoY is going to different than MoM. I could show even better growth by comparing 2015 to 2025. You need to look at month by month, possibly for 2 years if your going to properly analyze the sales changes and the timing of the protests so you can get the overall growth plus seasonality accounted for.
Why do you have images of…
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Why do you have images of mostly black people protesting and also looking angry? Black people were and are resting and have not been involved in the protest. If you find any it would be very very very few. Stop using black people
As is often the case, the…
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As is often the case, the protestors/vandals are just a very loud, very small minority. It'll all blow over soon when they move on to the next thing to cry about. I'm predicting we're about to see lots of Chinese flags/we stand with China being displayed.
I agree with you in general…
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In reply to As is often the case, the… by Nostrildumbass (not verified)
I agree with you in general. But if I've learned one fact about America, it's that a small, vocal minority can often make big things happen. If you apply that concept to the overall push for EVs, I think the same principle applies. 93% of Americans did not buy an EV in Q2. Yet, a vocal minority would have you think EVs are in some way "mainstream."
We already know Tesla's not…
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We already know Tesla's not above cooking the books in Canada to take advantage of expiring rebates -- I don't know why you'd trust these numbers any more, TBH.
Tesla dealerships are different from most other dealerships, which means there's no independent dealers to help verify what's actually happening to these things.
Your reporting is clearly…
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Your reporting is clearly biased and I can tell you have a sore stick up your bum about the Tesla protests. I can tell this, as your clearly ignored the fact that the overall EV market grew 11% as shown in that report, but Tesla shrank 9%. In essence, Tesla LAGS 20% growth conpared to the market. This is the protests working right here and if you didn't see it, toj should stop writing articles like your objective and just admit your bias.
Additionally, they lost growth in high margin X & S cars while only really growing in low margin 3s and a tiny absolute growth in CT sales.
Anony, you offer great…
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In reply to Your reporting is clearly… by Anony-Mouse (not verified)
Anony, you offer great perspective. Like I say in the story, It "feels" to me like Tesla should be really hurting from all the U.S. protest activity. The story comments on the global impacts in the first two sentences. X and S are boat anchors, as we clearly state in the story. They jumped the shark three years back.
Quarter 1 ended Mar 31. Q2…
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Quarter 1 ended Mar 31. Q2 will be a much more accurate reflection of the damage Musk had done to the brand.
Xpilot, we totally agree…
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In reply to Quarter 1 ended Mar 31. Q2… by Xpilot (not verified)
Xpilot, we totally agree. Watch for an update.
The 2016 juniper y is…
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The 2016 juniper y is incredible! Won’t be long until they are everywhere like the previous y is.
The few people on the far…
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The few people on the far left that have been swayed to not purchase (or sell) a Tesla is by far outdone by the right now interested and activity looking. It is a big change and helps prove that all news is good marketing.
Protesting is not a bad option to stand up for your beliefs. When there is damage and destruction it helps you quickly lose support.
find some evidence of a…
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In reply to The few people on the far… by Ross (not verified)
find some evidence of a surge of MAGA buyers. sales down 9% YOY, while EV sales ROSE 11% YOY, certainly suggests none occurred. Down means down, even in MAGA land.
You should do better…
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You should do better research and at least acknowledge the Cox numbers are estimates for Tesla. Also, there appears to be a gap between Tesla stated numbers and actual vehicle registrations. I enjoy my model y and want Tesla to succeed but papering over the myriad of issues won't help.
So the people who paid the…
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So the people who paid the protestors lost $, and Tesla profited. Seems to be the norm. Left wing protests backfire on a regular basis. Right wing protests don't. Chik-Fil-A business grew. Target sales declined. True that.
Nobody paid anybody, silly…
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In reply to So the people who paid the… by Ken Shockman (not verified)
Nobody paid anybody, silly person.
So only Black people…
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So only Black people protested against Tesla🤔 I don't think that image attached to this article represents the majority of the people who protest Tesla. See images from 4/5/25 protest. Those pictures and images are more representative of who really protests against Tesla.
Interesting story, when you…
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Interesting story, when you click on the provided link that graphic is not there. However, this is the headline for it!
U.S. Electric Vehicle Sales Increase More Than 10% Year Over Year in Q1: GM Drives EV Growth While Tesla Declines
YoY Cyber Truck improvement…
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YoY Cyber Truck improvement is based on it just coming out and them ramping up production. Compare to Q3 or Q4 and you'll see a drop.
Need monthly data to draw a…
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Need monthly data to draw a conclusion. No protests in January. No DOGE in January. Some of both in February. Did not really kick in until March. Gentleman may know cars, but not statistics. Q2 will give an accurate read, one way or the other. Monthly data would tell you now.
How do you get rednecks to…
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How do you get rednecks to buy electric cars? Make it piss off liberals! The jokes write themselves. I never thought I’d see the day when big trucks go from taking up the electric charging parking for shits and giggles to defending a Tesla dealership. It’s just a real life SNL skit.
at our local one the…
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In reply to How do you get rednecks to… by Kathryn (not verified)
at our local one the knuckledraggers encircled the dealership with their giant gas guzzler Emotional Support Trucks to "protect" it. And of course rendered it inaccessible to customers all day. The irony was delicious. Those Epsilons* ain't buying EVs any time soon. they can't afford a cyberphallus and the rest are 'woke'.
* h/t to Aldous Huxley
The Cox data is wrong. Tesla…
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The Cox data is wrong. Tesla's global sales data is available. As is the data for every country except Canada and the US. Take an estimate at Canadian sales, and you have a figure for the US. TLDCalculate: It's around 18% down.
Well, George, this is very…
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In reply to The Cox data is wrong. Tesla… by George (not verified)
Well, George, this is very helpful. You state that the Tesla U.S. deliveries are down "around"18%. Our story shows data that indicates the deliveries were down 14%. If you feel that nullifies all of the other aspects of the story, I guess we can't object.
Media always presents the…
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Media always presents the false narrative it want to impose ! I’m a Tesla fan and I will stay the same , I drove other electric vehicles … difference is huge ! Can’t wait to get the next one ! When I’ll be driving my 6000 lbs stainless steel truck my message will by a huge middle finger to all Tesla haters !
Given the questionable…
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Given the questionable figures reported in Canada, and the lots full of unsold vehicles documented in many US markets, kinda makes one wonder about the accuracy of the report.
Pagination