Tesla FSD is Already Done and Nobody Can See It
Tesla FSD is ready to go right now and there are some clues as to why this is. First off, Andrej Karpathy went on a multiple month sabbatical. This is the head of AI for Tesla. Elon Musk is also directing efforts to buying Twitter and doing other things. If you follow Elon Musk and his interviews, he seems to be in a good mood, especially regarding FSD. These things wouldn't be happening if FSD was uncertain to Tesla.
There were some difficult times for Tesla and Elon Musk in 2019. Elon looked very tired and was impatient on some calls. He also looked stressed and tired then. There was the Model 3 launch in 2019, which I'm sure added to the stress.
Elon Musk is very focused right now on what is going with Tesla and his answers on earnings calls and interviews are very relaxed. A lot of his answers are also in regards to Tesla FSD. Elon is the founder and leader of Tesla and he has stated that the AI portion of the business (FSD, Tesla Bot), are priority #1 for Tesla. This has been stated multiple times.
With this being the case, why would Elon Musk buy Twitter, which would take time away from your other projects in a significant way? Even if Elon Musk has a greater bandwidth than the normal person, this is still going to take a good amount of this time. In addition to that, the leader of FSD, Andrej Karpathy went on a multiple month sabbatical. Elon is also being very cheerful
FSD is Ready or Just About Ready to Launch
The leadership structure and Elon Musk needing to be heavily involved in FSD is likely not needed anymore. Tesla is going to release another version of FSD in the next couple weeks, and there is a good chance that we'll see this version of FSD being the best version yet and showing that the software has greatly improved.
At the very least, there is a structure in place for Tesla FSD that is going to take care of FSD without the need of intervention from Elon Musk or Andrej Karpathy. If this is the case, that is the ultimate measure of leadership, to build a team that is able to function autonomously and build the software without anymore supervision - the vision is already provided.
Based on the communication from Elon Musk and his team regarding FSD and that he is confident that FSD is going to be done in 2022, we can assume that Elon Musk diverting his attention is that FSD is just about done. This is more likely than FSD being a failure and not going to work out.
The signs are all there that Tesla FSD is ready to go and it's just a matter of time and training models before it's safer than a human driver!
Will Tesla FSD be safer than the average human driver this year? Will robotaxis start to enter service in 2023?
For more information, see this video from Farzad Mesbahi:
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Jeremy Johnson is a Tesla investor and supporter. He first invested in Tesla in 2017 after years of following Elon Musk and admiring his work ethic and intelligence. Since then, he's become a Tesla bull, covering anything about Tesla he can find, while also dabbling in other electric vehicle companies. Jeremy covers Tesla developments at Torque News. You can follow him on Twitter or LinkedIn to stay in touch and follow his Tesla news coverage on Torque News.