Elon Musk: FSD Beta Wide Release In "4 Weeks"
We should be there with Beta 10, which goes out a week from Friday (no point release this week).
It will have a completely retrained NN, so will need another few weeks after that for tuning & bug fixes. Best guess is public beta button in ~4 weeks.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) August 25, 2021
FSD Beta 10 Will Be Next
Elon Musk has stated the there will not be an FSD version 9.3 released. The reason for 9.3 not being released is the next release of FSD will be version 10, which will combine the vision neural network code for city streets and freeway driving.
Elon Musk mentioned that there would be a couple weeks of tweaks and fixes before version 10 is made widely available to the public for beta testing. This means that anyone with a Tesla vehicle and FSD purchased (either an upfront purchase or a monthly subscription), will be able to experience a Tesla driving itself.
As always, the car is not yet autonomous and full attention and hands on the wheel must happen at all times and the driver must be able to take over at any moment.
What Comes After Beta 10?
Once Beta 10 for FSD is released, there will be at least a few weeks before it is made widely available. Once it is made widely available, I believe we are going to see an explosion of videos and news on it. I even think that some are going to take this chance to try and tarnish Tesla since it will be available to anyone with FSD.
The thing that I think we might see more of is news articles stating that a Tesla driving itself was involved in some kind of accident. So far, there hasn't been much merit to Tesla cars without a drive causing accidents and we've had no updated news from the supposed Tesla Model S Plaid fire. I believe the news is sensationalized against Tesla because Tesla is in a technological lead and it's going to take a long time for other auto makers to even get to where Tesla is right now.
Once everyone has had time to digest FSD and its beta wide release, I think we are going to see a few months of testing, fixes, feedback, until finally, the FSD will be taken out of Beta and will be a feature of all Tesla vehicles that is available. I don't think we will see robotaxis until we start to see 0 intervention and 0 disengagement drives happening regularly - and I mean weeks and weeks of driving without issue.
I would also expect that Tesla will announce some kind of fleet-wide program for their autonomous taxi network at the time FSD is showing to be superior to a human driving. I think this will be sometime next year.
What do you think about Elon Musk's statement about FSD beta being widely released in 4 weeks? Will this happen, or will there be a long delay?
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Jeremy Johnson is a Tesla investor and supporter. He first invested in Tesla in 2017 after years of following Elon Musk and admiring his work ethic and intelligence. Since then, he's become a Tesla bull, covering anything about Tesla he can find, while also dabbling in other electric vehicle companies. Jeremy covers Tesla developments at Torque News. You can follow him on Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn and Instagram to stay in touch and follow his Tesla news coverage on Torque News.