The Catastrophic Error Nissan is Making with LEAF
Bern Niamir comments below. The comment source is from Canada Nissan Owners Facebook Group.
I think the catastrophic error that Nissan is making is that it thinks it has to go from 100 miles nominal to 200 or 250 miles nominal range (because Tesla is there) -- and thus this delays the introduction of a higher range Leaf. I believe a 50% (or even 30%) increase from 100 to 150 miles will have a huge impact on sales (assuming price goes up only marginally). The dealer network who essentially despises the Leaf is probably telling Nissan not to bother with a 150 mile Leaf, consciously knowing that it will take a long time for Nissan to release a 250 mile Leaf.
The problem with emulating the range of ICE vehicles is that not everyone goes to the gas station every day. While an EV does visit the gas station everyday when charged overnight at home. Therefore, the EV does not need to meet the ICE range, if highways and downtowns are populated with DCQCs. There is an expression: Picking up a huge rock means you are not going to throw it at the bad guy. 400 km sounding nice, does not mean it is necessary.
If upcoming Nissan batteries are cheaper and lighter than the old batteries by a factor of 2, then this will be a major breakthrough. Unfortunately no one else has reported this AFAIK. I tend to be skeptical. But again, a 30% increase in capacity will translate into 100% or more increase in utility. I rather have 32 kWh today than 48 kWh in 2 years.
By Bern Niamir
Hydroenergy Expert and LEAF Owner