Daily chart of Tesla stock for 2012-0509

Tesla stock reacting to forward guidance and new Model S production date


After earnings and forward-looking statements were announced, post-market trading might be an indication that investors in Tesla Motors (Nasdaq: TSLA) stock are focusing more on the upcoming Model S production.

Nobody except the most impatient expected a profit so soon for Tesla stock, so investors were not surprised by another quarterly loss. Rather they just hoped it would be a rational and controlled loss, which it appears to be.

Truth is, news of any loss in earnings can only be soothed by forward-looking statements. It either propels or kills an uptrend; but Tesla stock might return another impulse bull wave with good reason. The bull wave that started in September, 2011 had slightly derailed the stock these past few months by news of two key personnel leaving the company among other unimportant news. Then again, the general market hasn’t been on fire either. Nonetheless, that was then; and this is now.

According to a live CNBC report by Phil LeBeau, Tesla has confirmed via today’s conference call that the driving range for the new Model S sedan will indeed be above 300 miles.

That is a major win for the company, not to mention the entire EV industry. Furthermore, Tesla's conference call revealed it has over 10,000 orders with the car priced at $57,400.

Albeit the cost of the Model S will still be out of the range of most drivers, 300 miles in driving range is likely what’s driving the stock higher in after hours. Furthermore, the very idea that production is starting in June, one month ahead of schedule, is another significant win.

It was not that long ago that one of the major problems with Tesla stock performance was the unrealistic expectations of traders. Many wanted to treat Tesla as if it was a mature company like GM or Ford. Traders would drive up prices in an impulse wave, then sell off to take profits; only to pick up the stock again for another wave upward. As of late, though, the price action had been down; but that might change very soon.

Fact is, Tesla was not mature, and will not be mature for some time. So, it takes forward-looking statements and faith to buy with both hands. This production of the Model S announcement, though, says the child has at least become a strong teenager, with eagerness and vision that only youth and a leader like Elon Musk can provide.

Granted, the engineering achievements have made the company appear from time to tome more mature than what it is. Nonetheless, traders and investors alike must stay focused on important statements contained within the quarterly reports as well as the earnings and conference calls. Fact is, Tesla is no longer a startup vision; it’s for real with a real product that will soon be produced in higher volumes than its roadster predecessor.

The Model S sedan is indeed a beautiful car; albeit out of my budget range. Still, from what I experienced at the 2012 NAIAS in Detroit, it has features that were surprising, above and beyond the aluminum structure and electric drive. Within the tech-oriented video, witness those two reverse-mounted, third-row seats as well as the interior and exterior. Also note the video screen on the dash, the biggest of any I have ever seen.

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